What to know
- CFA's mission is to harness cutting-edge data analytics to improve response to public health emergencies.
- CFA develops infectious disease forecasts, models, simulator tools, and risk communication products for public health decision-makers.
Insights for Respiratory Virus Season
CFA provides insights and products to support planning and response to the respiratory virus season, including an annual seasonal outlook, a Behind the Model on our scenario modeling, current COVID-19 and influenza epidemic trends at the national, state and local level, and short-term ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 hospital admission.
Modeling and Forecasting
CFA uses disease forecasts, models, and simulator tools to assess public health threats. We use a range of modeling methods and approaches to help support public health response and strengthen national security. See our modeling and forecasting page to learn more.
Qualitative Analysis and Risk Assessments
CFA uses a range of quantitative and qualitative techniques in our assessments, which help support public health response and strengthen national security. When quantitative data are limited, we provide Qualitative Risk Assessments to rapidly assess the public health implications and Outbreak Scenario Assessments to assess what could occur in the coming weeks to months of an outbreak. Our Respiratory Disease Season Outlook provides decision-makers with information to assist with public health preparedness planning.
Behind the Model
CFA’s Behind the Model is a web series sharing the behind-the-scenes work of CFA and partners in generating disease forecasts, models, simulator tools. We provide a high-level overview of methods and practical applications of our work for public health practitioners, healthcare providers, and the public.
Publications
CFA has contributed to many publications to advance the science of disease modeling, forecasting and analytics. This work illustrates how CFA’s tools and products enhance outbreak response and preparedness in the face of public health threats.