Our Work

What to know

  • CFA's mission is to harness cutting-edge data analytics to improve response to public health emergencies.
  • CFA provides data, models, forecasts, and analytical reports about diseases to decision-makers.
A conceptual graphic of individuals reviewing CFA's tools and products.

Spotlight Recent Work

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Two mpox technical briefs by CFA and partners highlight modeling of potential spread of clade I mpox in the U.S.—one regarding MSM transmission; the other exploring household transmission.

Behind the Model

CFA’s Behind the Model is a web series sharing the behind-the-scenes work of CFA and partners in generating models, forecasts, and other analytic products. We provide a high-level overview of methods and practical applications of our work for public health practitioners, healthcare providers, and the public.

Behind the Model
The "Behind the Model" series offers a peek into models written by CFA's data analysts.
Behind the Model: Wastewater-informed Forecasting of COVID-19 Hospital Admissions
CFA is using wastewater data and hospital admissions data to forecast COVID-19 hospital admissions.
Behind the Model: Estimating the Impact of Updated Isolation Guidance on COVID-19 Transmission
CDC estimated impact of its updated isolation guidance on COVID-19 transmission potential. 
Behind the Model: CDC's Tools to Assess Epidemic Growth
Behind the Model: Improving CDC's Tools for Assessing Epidemic Growth

Qualitative analyses and risk assessments

Qualitative Analyses and Risk Assessments
The Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA) enables timely, effective decision-making to...
How CFA Conducts Rapid Risk Assessments
The Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA) enables timely, effective decision-making to...
Mpox Rapid Risk Assessment
The Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA) enables timely, effective decision-making to...
Mpox Rapid Risk Assessment - Previous Updates
The Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA) enables timely, effective decision-making to...
Respiratory Disease Season Outlook
CFA’s Outlook on the Fall Respiratory Season for 2023.
Respiratory Disease Season Outlook - Previous Updates
The Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA) enables timely, effective decision-making to...

Modeling and forecasting

Modeling Household Transmission of Clade I Mpox in the United States
The Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA) enables timely, effective decision-making to...
Risk of Clade 1 Mpox Outbreaks Among Gay, Bisexual, and Other Men Who Have Sex With Men in the United States
The Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA) enables timely, effective decision-making to...
Current Epidemic Growth Status (Based on Rt) for States and Territories
The Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA) enables timely, effective decision-making to...

CDC collaborations

CDC’s Center for Forecasting and Analytics (CFA), together with the Division of Viral Diseases (DVD) in the National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (NCIRD), have been analyzing measles data and creating models to explore potential scenarios and help us better understand measles outbreak risk in the U.S.

Assessing Measles Outbreak Risk in the United States
CDC is creating models to show how measles outbreaks could occur and spread in the U.S.

CFA has supported the Division of Viral Diseases in forecasting COVID-19 hospitalizations. These ensemble forecasts for COVID-19 hospitalizations provide early warning, giving leaders time to prepare for surge and planning activities to prevent infections.

COVID-19 Forecasts: Hospitalizations
Learn about COVID-19 forecasts and modeling for new hospitalizations.
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Content Source:
Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics