Modeling and Forecasting

Purpose

CFA uses data, modeling, and analytics to assess public health threats. We use a range of methods and approaches to support public health response and decision-making.

blue background, dark blue waves, and dark blue text that says "Modeling and Forecasting"

Technical Briefs

A technical brief is a succinct report covering modeling and analytic results that answer a public health decision-maker question of interest. CFA recently released two technical briefs that explore the potential spread of clade I mpox in the United States, given the ongoing clade I mpox outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo:

  • This study explores the impact of household and other non-sexual contact on the potential spread of clade I mpox in the United States.
  • This study explores the impact of population-level immunity and transmissibility on sexual transmission among gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (MSM).

Current Epidemic Growth Status

CFA uses NSSP data on emergency department visits to estimate whether COVID-19 infections are growing, declining or remain stable.