2021 ARPE Contact Investigations Report

Purpose

This Aggregate Reports for Tuberculosis Program Evaluation (ARPE) report summarizes national contact investigation efforts related to tuberculosis (TB) cases diagnosed in 2021 as well as summary data from the period 2017-2020.

About the report

Follow-up examination and treatment of contacts to patients with tuberculosis (TB) is a national TB prevention and control priority in the United States.

Each year, TB programs report results of their contact investigation activities to CDC by entering the data into the Aggregate Reports for Tuberculosis Program Evaluation (ARPE) form via the National Tuberculosis Indicators Project performance-monitoring tool.

ARPE data provide the only national level data on contact investigations and are reported in three categories:

  1. Sputum smear-positive
  2. Sputum smear-negative/culture-positive
  3. Other

The data are also used by awardees as a tool to evaluate and coordinate TB prevention activities.

Data summary

In 2021, 7,882 TB cases were reported in the United States. Of these, 3,320 were AFB smear-positive and 1,420 were AFB smear-negative, culture-positive. The number of sputum acid-fast bacillus (AFB) smear-positive TB cases identified in 2021 (3,320) were fewer than the annual number identified during 2017-2019 (range: 3,364 - 3,481) but higher than those identified in 2020 (2,879).

Elicitation of contacts

Similarly, the number of contacts elicited declined in 2021 (27,202) as compared to any year in the period 2017-2020 (range: 35,915-53,783). The percentage of cases with contacts elicited in 2021 (3,050; 91.9%) was also lower than the annual percentages achieved during the period 2017-2020, with all years falling below the 2025 National Performance Target of 100%. Declines in the number and percentage of cases with contacts elicited in 2021 as compared to prior years might be related to the COVID-19 epidemic, so caution should be exercised when interpreting that data.

Evaluation of contacts

Evaluation of contacts to smear-positive cases in 2021 (76.2%) also remained below the 2025 National Performance Target of 94% but was similar to levels of performance achieved annually during the period 2017-2020 (range: 75.7% -80.6%).

Diagnosis and treatment of latent TB infection

Among the 27,202 contacts elicited to smear-positive cases in 2021, 4,438 (21.4%) were diagnosed with latent TB infection. Of those, 73.7% (3,272) initiated treatment and 81.2% (2,657) of those completed treatment. The 2021 latent TB infection treatment initiation percentage (73.7%) was lower than that achieved annually between 2017-2020 (range: 75.8%-77.8%). Treatment completion percentages were similar throughout the period of 2017-2021 (range: 76.8%-81.2%). Performance for both latent TB infection treatment initiation and completion remains below the 2025 National TB Performance Targets of 92% and 93%, respectively.

Additionally, among persons diagnosed with latent TB infection and determined to be contacts of smear-positive TB cases in 2021, contacts choosing to stop treatment for any reason accounted for 32.4%, while contacts lost to follow-up accounted for 43.5%.

Appendix A: Sputum smear-positive TB cases

Appendix A. Counts and Indices for Investigation of Sputum Acid-fast Bacillus (AFB) Smear-Positive TB Cases, 2017-2021A

Table 1: Counts of Sputum AFB Smear-Positive Cases and Contacts
Cases and Contacts 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Cases for investigation 3,364 3,398 3,481 2,879 3,320
Cases, no contacts 247 187 193 206 270
Number of contacts 51,447 53,783 51,419 35,915 27,202
Evaluated 41,489 42,302 38,942 28,095 20,738
TB disease 416 352 345 317 381
Latent TB infection 6,428 6,044 5,587 4,229 4,438
•  Started treatment 4,952 4,583 4,271 3,290 3,272
•  Completed treatment 3,804 3,623 3,423 2,600 2657
•  Treatment outcome unknown/missing 231 366 283 335 263

Table 2: Reasons Contacts Stopped Latent TB Infection Treatment, Sputum AFB Smear-Positive Cases
Reason 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Contacts stopping treatment (n) 917 594 565 355 352
Active TB developed 7 (0.8%) 6 (1.0%) 4 (0.7%) 2 (0.6%) 2 (0.6%)
Adverse effect of medicine 53 (5.8%) 51 (8.6%) 47 (8.3%) 40 (11.3%) 41 (11.6%)
Contact chose to stop 304 (33.1%) 256 (43.1%) 185 (32.7%) 114 (32.1%) 114 (32.4%)
Contact lost to follow-up 415 (45.2%) 190 (32.0%) 249 (44.1%) 145 (40.8%) 153 (43.5%)
Contact moved (follow-up unknown) 67 (7.3%) 35 (5.9%) 38 (6.7%) 27 (7.6%) 22 (6.2%)
Death 6 (0.7%) 4 (0.7%) 8 (1.4%) 5 (1.4%) 8 (2.3%)
Provider decision 65 (7.1%) 52 (8.7%) 34 (6.1%) 22 (6.2%) 12 (3.4%)

Table 3: Contact Investigation Evaluation Indices, Sputum AFB Smear-Positive Cases
Evaluation Indices (%) 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Contact elicitation (%) 92.7% 94.5% 94.5% 92.8% 91.9%
Contacts per case (N, Average) 15.3 15.8 14.8 12.5 8.2
Contact evaluation (%) 80.6% 78.7% 75.7% 78.2% 76.2%
TB disease (%) 1.0% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.8%
Latent TB infection (%) 15.5% 14.3% 14.3% 15.1% 21.4%
Latent TB infection treatment initiated (%) 77.0% 75.8% 76.4% 77.8% 73.7%
Latent TB infection treatment completed (%) 76.8% 79.1% 80.1% 79.0% 81.2%

Figure 1: Proportion of TB patients with contacts elicited

A bar chart depicting the number of sputum AFB smear-positive U.S. TB cases with contacts elicited from 2017 to 2021.
The percentage of cases with contacts elicited in 2021 (3,050; 91.9%) was lower than the annual percentages achieved during the period 2017-2020, with all years falling below the 2025 National Performance Target of 100%.

National objective

Increase the proportion of TB patients with positive acid-fast bacillus (AFB) sputum-smear results who have contacts elicited to 100.0% by 2025.

Indicator

Percent of sputum AFB smear-positive TB cases with contacts elicited

Cohort

  • Sputum AFB smear-positive TB cases are counted in the cohort period of interest.
  • Records with a variable(s) for which exclusion criteria cannot be assessed are included in the analytic cohort.

Data sources

  • ARPEs (Contacts) fields, a1 (Sputum smear+ Cases for Investigation), b1 (Sputum smear+ Cases with No Contacts)
  • Sputum AFB smear-positive TB cases with contacts elicited = Number of sputum AFB smear-positive TB cases for investigation - Number of sputum AFB smear-positive cases with no contacts.

Calculation

[(Number of sputum AFB smear-positive TB cases with contacts elicited) / Cohort] x 100.

Figure 2: Evaluation of contacts

A bar chart depicting the number of U.S. contacts to sputum AFB smear-positive TB cases examined from 2017 to 2021.
Evaluation of contacts to smear-positive cases in 2021 (76.2%) remained below the 2025 National Performance Target of 94% but was similar to levels of performance achieved annually during the period 2017-2020 (range: 75.7% - 80.6%).

National objective

Increase the proportion of contacts to sputum AFB smear-positive TB cases who are examined for infection and disease to 94.0% by 2025. Contacts are counted as evaluated if they have been tested and examined to the point where a final determination of diagnosis is either latent TB infection or TB disease.

Indicator

Percent of contacts to sputum AFB smear-positive TB cases examined for infection and disease

Cohort

Contacts to sputum AFB smear-positive TB cases counted in the cohort period of interest. Records with a variable(s) for which exclusion criteria cannot be assessed are included in the analytic cohort.

Data sources

ARPEs (Contacts) fields, c1 (Number of Contacts to Sputum smear+ Cases), d1 (Contacts to Sputum smear+ Cases Evaluated)

Calculation

[Number of contacts to sputum AFB smear-positive TB cases evaluated/ Cohort] x 100.

Figure 3: Latent TB infection treatment initiation

A bar chart depicting the number of U.S. contacts to sputum AFB smear-positive TB cases diagnosed with latent TB infection who started treatment from 2017 to 2021..
Among the 27,202 contacts elicited to smear-positive cases in 2021, 4,438 (21.4%) were diagnosed with latent TB infection. Of those, 73.7% (3,272) initiated treatment. The 2021 treatment initiation percentage (73.7%) was lower than that achieved annually between 2017-2020 (range: 75.8%-77.8%) and remained below the 2025 National TB Performance Target of 92%.

National objective

Increase the proportion of contacts to sputum AFB smear-positive TB cases diagnosed with latent TB infection who start treatment to 92.0% by 2025.

Indicator

Percent of contacts to sputum AFB smear-positive TB cases diagnosed with latent TB infection who started treatment. Contacts are counted as having started treatment after taking the first dose of a treatment course.

Cohort

Contacts to sputum AFB smear-positive TB cases who have newly diagnosed latent TB infection, counted in the cohort period of interest. Records with a variable(s) for which exclusion criteria cannot be assessed are included in the analytic cohort.

Data Sources

ARPEs (Contacts) fields, f1 (Contacts to Sputum smear+ Cases with Latent TB Infection), g1 (Contacts to Sputum smear+ Cases Diagnosed with Latent TB Infection Who Started Treatment)

Calculation

[Number of contacts diagnosed with latent TB infection who started treatment/ Cohort] x 100.

Figure 4: Latent TB infection treatment completion

Bar chart depicting treatment completion for U.S. contacts to sputum AFB smear-positive TB cases who have started treatment for latent TB infection from 2017 to 2021
Among the 3,272 contacts who initiated treatment for latent TB infection, 81.2% (2,657) of those completed treatment. The 2021 latent TB infection treatment completion percentages were similar throughout the period of 2017-2021 (range: 76.8%-81.2%). Performance for latent TB infection treatment completion remains below the 2025 National TB Performance Target of 93%.

National objective

For contacts to sputum AFB smear-positive TB cases who have started treatment for latent TB infection, increase the proportion who complete treatment to 93.0% by 2025.

Indicator

Percent of contacts to sputum AFB smear-positive TB cases who complete treatment.

Cohort

Contacts to sputum AFB smear-positive TB cases with newly diagnosed latent TB infection and have started treatment are counted in the cohort period of interest. Records with a variable(s) for which exclusion criteria cannot be assessed are included in the analytic cohort.

Data sources

ARPEs (Contacts) fields, g1 (Contacts to Sputum smear+ Cases Diagnosed with Latent TB Infection Who Started Treatment), h1 (Contacts to Sputum smear+ Cases Diagnosed with Latent TB Infection Who Completed Treatment)

Calculation

[Number of contacts diagnosed with latent TB infection who completed treatment / Cohort] x 100

Figure 5: Number of contacts to AFB smear-positive TB cases

A bar chart depicting the number of U.S. contacts to sputum AFB smear-positive TB cases by examination and treatment disposition in 2021
U.S. contacts to sputum AFB smear-positive TB cases by number of contacts elicited, examined, diagnosed, and treated in 2021

Appendix B. Sputum smear-negative, culture-positive TB cases

Appendix B. Counts and Indices for Investigation of Sputum AFB Smear-Negative, Culture-Positive TB Cases, 2016-2020A

Table 4: Counts of Sputum AFB Smear-Negative, Culture-Positive Cases and Contacts
Cases and Contacts 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Cases for investigation 1,827 1,903 1,784 1,343 1,420
Cases, no contacts 312 258 257 205 251
Number of contacts 14,101 13,589 12,679 8,831 8,120
Evaluated 11,628 10,713 9,908 6,940 6,254
TB disease 72 72 63 66 78
Latent TB infection 1,320 1,428 1,147 901 872
•  Started treatment 893 958 747 567 527
•  Completed treatment 703 744 606 413 428
•  Treatment outcome unknown/missing 46 40 32 91 41

Table 5: Reasons Contacts Stopped Latent TB Infection Treatment, Sputum AFB Smear-Negative, Culture-Positive Cases
Reason 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Contacts stopping treatment (n) 144 174 109 63 58
Active TB developed 1 (0.7%) 4 (2.3%) 2(1.8%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Adverse effect of medicine 17 (11.8%) 21 (12.1%) 13 (11.9%) 12 (19.0%) 5 (8.6%)
Contact chose to stop 49 (34.0%) 71 (40.8%) 38 (34.9%) 25 (39.7%) 21 (36.2%)
Contact lost to follow-up 44 (30.6%) 54 (31.0%) 42 (38.5%) 20 (31.7%) 25 (43.1%)
Contact moved (follow-up unknown) 15 (10.4%) 10 (5.7%) 6 (5.5%) 2 (3.2%) 3 (5.2%)
Death 1 (0.7%) 2 (1.1%) 4 (3.7%) 2 (3.2%) 3 (5.2%)
Provider decision 17 (11.8%) 12 (7.0%) 4 (3.7%) 2 (3.2%) 1 (1.7%)

Table 6: Contact Investigation Evaluation Indices, Sputum AFB Smear-Negative, Culture-Positive Cases
Evaluation Indices (%) 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Contact elicitation (%) 82.9% 86.4% 85.6% 84.7% 82.3%
Contacts per case (N, Average) 7.7 7.1 7.1 6.6 5.7
Contact evaluation (%) 82.5% 78.8% 78.1% 78.6% 77.0%
TB disease (%) 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2%
Latent TB infection (%) 11.4% 13.3% 11.6% 12.9% 13.9%
Latent TB infection treatment initiated (%) 67.7% 67.1% 65.1% 62.9% 60.4%
Latent TB infection treatment completed (%) 78.7% 77.7% 81.1% 72.8% 81.2%

Appendix C: Other*

Appendix C. Counts and Indices for Investigation of Other* Cases, 2017-2021A

* Other: Contact investigations not captured in investigating sputum AFB smear-positive or sputum AFB smear-negative, culture-positive. For example: Associate-contact or source-case investigations done because of a child with TB disease.

Table 7: Counts of Contacts, Other Cases
Contacts 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Number of contacts 7,930 10,667 8,309 5,620 8,079
Evaluated 6,755 8,837 6,207 4,293 6,118
TB disease 62 69 66 65 85
Latent TB infection 724 820 796 515 749
•  Started treatment 532 577 551 344 425
•  Completed treatment 428 493 457 283 338
•  Treatment outcome unknown/missing 25 18 24 12 32

Table 8: Reasons Contacts Stopped Treatment for Latent TB Infection, Other Cases
Reason 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Contacts stopping treatment (n) 79 66 70 49 55
Active TB developed 4 (5.1%) 1 (1.5%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Adverse effect of medicine 5 (6.3%) 9 (13.6%) 14 (20.0%) 6 (12.2%) 4 (7.3%)
Contact chose to stop 31 (39.2%) 18 (27.3%) 27 (38.6%) 18 (36.7%) 25 (45.4%)
Contact lost to follow-up 26 (33.0%) 26 (39.4%) 21 (30.0%) 19 (38.8%) 22 (40.0%)
Contact moved (follow-up unknown) 8 (10.1%) 5 (7.6%) 5 (7.1%) 4 (8.2%) 3 (5.5%)
Death 0 (0%) 1 (1.5%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Provider decision 5 (6.3%) 6 (9.1%) 3 (4.3%) 2 (4.1%) 1 (1.8%)

Table 9: Contact Investigation Evaluation Indices, Other Cases
Evaluation Indices (%) 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Contact evaluation (%) 85.2% 82.8% 74.7% 76.4% 75.7%
TB disease (%) 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 1.4%
Latent TB infection (%) 10.7% 9.3% 12.8% 11.9% 12.2%
Latent TB infection treatment initiated (%) 73.5% 70.4% 69.2% 66.8% 56.7%
Latent TB infection treatment completed (%) 80.5% 85.4% 82.9% 82.3% 79.5%

Resources

  1. Reporting jurisdictions: 50 U.S. states, Washington D.C., Puerto Rico, and eight large city jurisdictions (Los Angeles, CA; San Francisco, CA; San Diego, CA; Chicago, IL; Baltimore, MD; New York City, NY; Philadelphia, PA; Houston, TX). Missouri and Kansas did not report in 2017 and 2018. Nebraska and the Virgin Islands did not report in 2018. Iowa did not report in 2020. Vermont did not report in 2019 and 2021. Data shown in tables and figures are up to date as of July 28, 2023.